Complex Care Market Report 2026

Fortava---TW---A-Smile-A-Day-Photography-(33-of-198)-LandscapeNew data from Barclays and Carterwood reveals a market shifting fast - and the funding gap threatening to slow it down.

Complex care is one of the most fragmented, fastest-evolving corners of adult social care - and one of the hardest to read.

This new report from Barclays and Carterwood cuts through the noise with hard data: provider survey results, DHSC expenditure figures, NHS Digital placement data, and FOI responses from local authorities across England.

 

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Inside the report:

  • Why supported living has overtaken residential care as the largest area of long-term expenditure - and what that means for future investment
  • Regional fee variation of over £600 a week for residential care, and £3,700 a year for supported living, depending on where you operate
  • Why 40.7% of providers say trading conditions have worsened over the past 12 months - and why more than half still feel confident about the sector's future
  • What's really constraining growth (hint: it's not workforce)
  • Occupancy, EBITDA and M&A expectations from providers over the next 12 months
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Whether you're operating, investing in, or commissioning complex care services, this report gives you the evidence base to plan with confidence.

Download the free report below.